Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2405.766670 2608.103509 2813.365339 3036.883218 3273.118547 3515.068627 3781.298564
2025-01-26 2140.452066 2447.699046 2771.179150 3135.954676 3534.660810 3956.052236 4433.904455
2025-02-02 1959.355043 2331.246383 2733.600181 3198.833405 3719.479988 4281.777723 4932.508987
2025-02-09 1784.247334 2197.936971 2656.212448 3197.542762 3815.445011 4494.794148 5294.100520
2025-02-16 1627.840145 2070.263133 2571.020346 3173.958007 3874.305318 4656.372702 5589.748674
2025-02-23 1528.782965 1999.964406 2543.434435 3208.732446 3993.141065 4880.679295 5952.651757
2025-03-02 1422.019263 1912.254585 2488.131343 3204.357047 4060.816581 5041.885584 6240.020397
2025-03-09 1354.537085 1867.041222 2478.948897 3250.665215 4184.891058 5266.470258 6599.933712
2025-03-16 1257.690314 1779.301809 2412.786931 3223.333951 4217.018528 5379.935507 6827.469937
2025-03-23 1215.872223 1758.059144 2425.930309 3290.688500 4361.791661 5626.323882 7212.502691
2025-03-30 1154.184167 1707.538917 2399.328868 3306.133130 4441.226872 5793.297555 7502.547084
2025-04-06 1089.876397 1650.020105 2360.741193 3303.771921 4496.509887 5929.644627 7755.113484
2025-04-13 988.234939 1538.856344 2250.143354 3207.803488 4434.053193 5922.631317 7835.581992
2025-04-20 975.021969 1546.932628 2294.518785 3310.698502 4622.307783 6225.045079 8296.404754
2025-04-27 948.261427 1534.590003 2310.650466 3376.115084 4762.794103 6468.859349 8686.654639
2025-05-04 898.069283 1486.811008 2277.247251 3374.772503 4816.553492 6603.975495 8942.640571
2025-05-11 842.928031 1429.181470 2228.034861 3350.237763 4838.563648 6698.035784 9146.977683
2025-05-18 812.903522 1406.317541 2225.062105 3386.412236 4938.850094 6890.810589 9475.389983
2025-05-25 770.934032 1363.792807 2193.063584 3381.860910 4984.635457 7013.773929 9716.068290
2025-06-01 748.894353 1349.895457 2200.251171 3430.027762 5099.782016 7225.659157 10070.139947
2025-06-08 703.834413 1298.889617 2152.959865 3401.600373 5111.721479 7304.040729 10254.281735
2025-06-15 691.740253 1297.985177 2176.905968 3471.651674 5255.602350 7553.463031 10657.937101
2025-06-22 664.164968 1271.549949 2162.829098 3487.712555 5326.256863 7707.783022 10940.260343